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Jordan Stephens's avatar

I love this blog so much.

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Manfredo's avatar

> While false accusations are extremely rare

Sexual violence accusations are rarely proven false. They're also rarely proven true. If someone pointed to a study that found 2% of accusations were proven true and concluded that truthful accusations are rare, is that sound reasoning? No, we also need to know how many were proven false, and how many could not be proven either way. If 96% of accusations can't be proven, and of the remaining 4%, half are proven true and half are proven false it'd be incredibly dishonest to claim this as evidence that just 2% of accusers are truthful.

Every study on false accusations I've seen have had over 50% of the sample that could not be determined true or false. The only intellectually honest answer about the rate of false accusations is that we don't know what the rate of false accusations are.

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Artin's avatar

What we know is that in the justice system “everyone is innocent until proven guilty” and it must remain so. False accusers should be punished so harshly that no one don’t dares to ruin anyone’s live by lying. There has been documented examples of people’s lives being destroyed by a psychopath making a false claim.

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Manfredo's avatar

I'm more conflicted on punishing false accusers, especially if they come forward on their own volition. Oftentimes, we only know accusations are false because the accusers admit as such. Leveling punishments in response would disincentivize people from admitting to have made false accusations. Punishment is probably be reserved for people who were caught in a lie, and did not admit to having fabricated the accusation until after other evidence contradicted their accusation.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro's avatar

How many rapes go unpunished? This seems like a relevant statistic to the discussion. The vast majority of people would agree that being raped is much worse than being falsely accused of rape, so lowering the barrier for people to make accusations might be justifiable if it reduces rape cases. Of course, many of the cases of unpunished rape cases occur within the family, but it is plausible that behavior within families is also influenced by the social environment.

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Manfredo's avatar

The fact that many rapes go unpunished does little to diminish the fact that Evans is making a baseless claim about the rates of false accusations. She didn't bother to cite this claim, so we have no idea what kind of evidence led her to write this, but chances are it's going to be a study where the number of unproven accusations dwarfs both the percentage proven true and the percentage proven false.

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Alexander Turok's avatar

"While false accusations are extremely rare"

I keep hearing this, but when you look into the evidence provided to support it it rests on "assume all accusations are true unless proven false." Which is exactly the kind of mentality that led to that retrenchment.

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Manfredo's avatar

Yes, just imagine what the response would be if you applied the same thought process to the validity of accusations: "Truthful accusations are extremely rare," there's as much evidence to justify this statement as there is with the claim that false accusations are rare. People would correctly point out that such a statement is dishonestly ignoring the vast majority of accusations that cannot be proven and may be true or may be false. But they're happy to engage in the same pattern of dishonesty to minimize false accusations.

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Crimson's avatar

Ah the gender divide - one day in the distant future we will begin to consider if the best way forward for society (and women) is to raise our sons on Pornhub.

Deep thinking and much soul searching will be required to grapple with this very difficult question. But it’s probably healthy. I hope we ignore it for another two decades so we have more time to think. 🤔 because free speech = letting CSA and trafficking reach epidemic proportions. And it’s great for sex relations too.

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Ben Supnik's avatar

I have two boys and I am deeply concerned about them growing up in a world with always-available short-form viral videos, social media, portable sports gambling, and pornography.

And I think of all of those, the porn is the biggest problem (if I could snap my fingers and nuke one, I think that's what I'd pick?) and it's a problem where we (their parents) have been boiled alive like frogs. I'm old enough that when I was a teenager, pornography meant magazines, and when it moved to the internet it meant "100x100 pixel crappy JPEGs that loaded slowly" (meaning: not real different from the magazines). Now it is a literal firehose of video, and the priors I have from being a teenager absolutely do not apply to my children at all. What I can teach them about sex and pornography could be the most important thing they learn from me.

But my god, also, it's all bad. The online sports gambling situation is totally insane and out of control. Phone use is rampant and clearly destructive. It all looks like a sea of "we're raising our boys in the cultural equipment of a heroine den full of used needles."

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Claude Walker's avatar

Everyone can see the backlash happening. As a man who would like to make society as safe as possible for women I am glad to see someone trying to voice solutions rather than just raging about their perceived opponents.

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Ben Supnik's avatar

I was also happy to see some pragmatism. If the goal is to be effective, I don't think backlash effects can be ignored.

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Samuel Roland's avatar

Speaking only from a Western perspective here, so take the following with a grain of salt. I think, while the general focus on status here is correct, trying to create a strategy for promoting gender-equality based on the broad groups of "men" and "women", while intuitive, is unlikely to succeed. You highlight how women's political and economic participation can lead to status anxiety among men, and thus backlash; but fail to consider how those shifts impact existing status structures for women and result in backlash there. To take the example I am most familiar with, I don't think it's a coincidence that the face of the anti-ERA movement, Phyllis Schlafly and STOP ERA, was run by--and made up of--women. Looked through the paper you linked on the backlash to ERA, was unable to find a breakdown of women's responses by marital and maternal status, but would hypothesize that the impact on women's opinions split along those lines.

Pure conjecture, but I suspect one of the reasons that there was dramatically less cultural backlash (open to counterarguments here) to the leaps in women's economic participation during WWI and WWII is that their temporary nature did not disrupt the already existing status hierarchy. It seems like the most effective methods of improving women's standing in society with minimal backlash are those that are seen as temporary and have a substantial economic benefit to society as a whole (see: the Factory Girls in China). If the economic benefit is large enough to the family unit to outcompete those not participating (taking the China example further, families who sent their daughters to work in the factories in other provinces and received remittances were much wealthier), it seems to overcome the original bias (especially when the situation is thought to be temporary and the women were expected to settle down after). Then, more gender-equal standards take shape as a side-effect of the spending power of the women. I think any movement dedicated to improving the lot of women abroad would be quite successful aping the examples of factory girls all across history.

On an unrelated note, I'm curious how your thoughts on fertility play into this picture. It seems to me that an ideology (my read on much of modern feminism) that places economic success over reproductive success is unlikely to sustain itself over multiple generations. I can't say I'm a fan of Robin Hanson's Mennonite future, but it seems hard to refute that something in modern gender relations is unsustainable on those grounds (your point on the rise of singles). Some sort of syncretic "motherhood" and "career" status ideal would be my preferred solution, but I admit to having been unable to find an example of success in such a manner.

Appreciate the great post, gave me a lot to think about.

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Ilari Mäkelä's avatar

Well articulated. Very important. I'm concerned, though, that the backlash to this piece will be the same as the backlash to MLK, etc.: "Why should the oppressed keep accommodating for the psychology of the oppressors?"

I hear this a lot. How should we respond?

More generally, it's very difficult ever to tell someone that they are doing activism "wrong". Any success stories on this?

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Ben Supnik's avatar

I think my answer to a "Why should the oppressed keep accommodating for the psychology of the oppressors?" rebuff of whatever-you-would-call-what's-up-with-men-these-days is that the way forward isn't zero sum and human empathy isn't a finite commodity we need to ration out.

In particular, I think that (this is Terry Real's ideas from his books, all of which I recommend) where-as the patriarchy robs women of their agency, it robs men of connection.

That effect on men may not be nearly as bad as bad things that happen to women...but that doesn't mean it is _good_ or that we _shouldn't give a crap_. In particular, helping men feel more socially connected and less isolated doesn't have to come at the cost of female agency.

I think the actual situation is much more hopeful: if men felt less disconnected, that would be a group of men that women would be less frustrated with.

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Blugale's avatar

Because you live in a society where you have to live together. Ignoring another group issues and problems because they are the “oppressor” is detrimental and harmful to your cause.

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Ilari Mäkelä's avatar

Yes! I do think part of the problem is that it has become increasingly easy in cosmopolitan circles to forget that we live in a society "together" with folks we deeply disagree with. Then comes election day and it's like "Who are these people"?

So I think you are right: a good approach would start by raising the obvious fact that, like it or not, we are in it together.

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Charles Mendelson's avatar

I love your point: Female Co-Workers Demonstrate Talent, and I think this is an area that is largely neglected.

When I entered the workforce in the US I was surprised by how gender segregated it was.

Women either work in feminized industries (nursing/healthcare being a quintessential example) or they work in highly feminized departments.

Since changing careers, I’ve primarily worked at SASS companies and typically value centers, like engineering, product, and sales are dominated by men, and cost centers like HR are dominated by women.

But even within value centers, support work like marketing, customer success, and program/product management are primarily dominated by women, and the “real” work of the value center, like new sales, and engineering are done by men.

I suspect this pattern replicates across the economy, either segregation by industry or segregation by department and function, and I think this has a pernicious effect on gender equality, both in terms of leadership opportunities (leaders are more likely to be chosen from value centers) but also in areas like workforce participation (if a family has to choose who leaves their job, pay is a big factor and cost centers generally pay less).

The only tweet I remember from after the election said something like “America didn’t want a diversity hire as it’s next president.”

And I suspect that a lot of voters felt that Harris was like somebody from HR and Trump felt like somebody from sales.

Excellent work as always!

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Artin's avatar

I don’t understand what is wrong with letting men and women decide what they want to do or become? It’s their life. It’s their right to pursue happiness in whatever they perceive to be their best choice. If they are forced either way it’d be wrong. There’s no imperative to make the sexes equal in every aspect because they are simply different. By nature all the terrible jobs are for men and nobody protests to that and I have no objection but to try to forcefully make the division in every job equal is misleading and creates backlash. DEI is unethical and unfair. Let there be true competition and stop obsessing over identity whether racial or sex.

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Charles Mendelson's avatar

I don’t think anyone suggested compelling anyone to do anything.

But I at least am interested in why this is the case?

I am interested in this because I want to live in a world that maximizes human flourishing and misogyny harms the flourishing of men and women.

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Artin's avatar

What I conceive as “compelling” is for example setting sex based quotas for companies to adhere to. It’s in itself a violation of property rights and therefore the individual rights. Let the businesses decide how they want to hire. The ones who hire based on merit will eventually flourish and merit in intellectual jobs at least is independent of sex or race. These laws are discouraging to men as it always favors women or some other minority just for being women or having that identity which should not be an advantage just as the opposite is not/should not be.

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Paulo Cesar Ferraro's avatar

Some people seem to miss the fact that free speech means that people are free to point out things they see as problems, even if you don't, and do whatever advocacy they want to solve them. If someone forms an organization to, for example, encourage more women to go into software engineering, that is completely within free speech and free association.

Anyway, for the discussion at hand, Evans doesn't give an example of what policy would help disadvantaged young men, and I'm curious if she has any, because I can't think of any. Women's economic rise didn't happen because of specific and intentional economic policies, it was just due to women entering the workforce and education, made more possible by family planning, and then organic changes in the economy.

I can think of policies that would help young people as a whole, like more abundant/cheap housing, and maybe that helps avoid some gender antagonism. Some European countries have relatively cheap housing, and some American cities have relatively cheap housing, so maybe that's a topic for someone to study. Overall, the US economy has been doing great, so economically Americans have been handed the goods, but status is a zero-sum game, and the decline in status of some men without college education was inevitable due to women entering the workforce and more jobs shifting to service.

I'll also just say that people really should avoid reading too much into Trump's victory. Trump won the popular vote by 1.5% and the Electoral College by 1.7%, these margins are easily explained by the fact that the US experienced its highest inflation rate in decades under Biden. Democrats will likely win big in elections between now and 2028, so people really shouldn't read too much into why one side or the other wins elections in a very closely divided electorate. American underlying social attitudes, however, have become much more liberal in the last many decades, regardless of who was president, and American attitudes on abortion have become more liberal in recent years, even as Americans have also become more conservative on issues such as immigration during the same period, probably due to the aforementioned inflation.

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Charles Mendelson's avatar

Pablo, those are all excellent points.

The problem with young men failing to thrive can really be thought of as 2 problems:

1. How do we increase opportunities for the next cohort?

This is a much easier problem and there are a number of proposals. The easiest is to either start men in school a year later, or delay their graduation by a year (by having boys repeat a year of grade school).

There is a mountain of evidence that shows that boys mature more slowly and a lot of what school assess is maturity. Wealthy families already practice this with private schools and it has its own term, “red shirting.” So as policies go, we should endeavor to extend the ability to do that down the economic ladder.

We also could do educational reform to increase offerings like shop class, home economics, and physical education.

Social media bans for children under 16 or 18 would also benefit boys and girls.

Will we do these things? Probably not, but they are at least proposals.

What we do about the problems current young men face is an entirely different question, and I don’t really know what we can do.

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Aditi's avatar

It’s interesting how many problems could be solved if men had stronger egos and more mental fortitude

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Ben Supnik's avatar

Can I poke at this for a minute? "more mental fortitude" struck me because I think on one side of the debate over "the problem with men" (meaning any of: worse socioeconomic outcomes for men over time and other indicators of struggle like addiction and suicide, or the reactionary backlash we see) often one side will say something that rhymes with "the men need to man up and just deal with it."

And the thing that strikes me is that this view of how men should deal with what is happening exactly plays into the traditional stereotypical views of what 'being a man' is that really haven't gone questioned.

- To be a man is to be strong enough to get through difficult things without telling other people that it's hard. Don't admit this to your friends, don't admit it to your family, don't admit it to yourself.

- Being in touch with any vulnerability, sadness, anxiety, none of that is okay. Being overly emotional isn't okay. Feelings other than anger aren't manly.

- As a man, you have total internal agency. Your destiny is what you make it, so what happens _is your fault_ and not a function of circumstance.

I'm exaggerating here, but you get the idea.

What I find both interesting and perhaps sad is that in seeing a situation that is fundamentally about changing gender dynamics, a group of people who can totally understand how old gender roles were a straight jacket for women and it would be beneficial to smash them to bits doesn't apply the same scrutiny to men.

Now if by "stronger egos and more mental fortitude" you meant something very different (like: defining their self worth intrinsically or by their connections to other human beings and not by external validation, and having greater emotional resiliency)...that's a whole different ball of wax and I've just gone off on a huge tangent because I've read your comment entirely through the lens of "traditional masculinity."

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Aditi's avatar

Hi and thanks for engaging with my comment! I’ll admit I was in a salty mood when writing it, probably amplified by the first sentence of this post that spoke of cancer and feminist activism in the same breath.

I’ll start by saying that this post in itself is illuminating and really does a great job of situating backlash against feminist activism.

To your comment - I definitely wasn’t approaching this through the traditional masculinity lens. My comment could have been better worded for sure, but I have grown rather tired of finding ways to make mainstream feminism more palatable to men (and I’m generalising ‘men’ here. Usual ‘not all men’ caveats apply). Feminists having both the onus of feminist activism and of packaging it in a way that doesn’t trigger backlash is a bit unfair. Resistance to patriarchy is already an under resourced and under funded movement. My view is that this resistance would be more productive if most men (I.e. the source of this ‘backlash’) realised that the patriarchy holds them victim too, as you allude to in your comment.

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Ben Supnik's avatar

"but I have grown rather tired of finding ways to make mainstream feminism more palatable to men" - I hear this, and I wonder if that sense of exhaustion can be found in many civil rights movements because the unfairness is structural to trying to fix things from below.

"My view is that this resistance would be more productive if most men realised that the patriarchy holds them victim too"

I think this is a really key point...men may think we're "winning" from our position in the patriarchy, but we're not. We're just "screwed over less." This is a message that probably has to come from men to be persuasive; the only thing we will need from women is a little bit of space to recognize how we are bound.

I worry that traditional masculinity absolutely can be enforced by women ... we are conditioned to be vey sensitive to those signals, and if it is, it doesn't give us the tools to change. I don't know if traditional masculinity (value comes from achievement, achievement is a zero sum game, ergo you exist in a hierarchy, looking for outside support is failure, etc.) serves patriarchy or generates it, but I don't see us being free from one without the other.

If you have the patience for it, I strongly recommend "raising cain protecting the emotional life of boys" by Dan Kindlon and Michael Thomson. They really paint a vivid (and heartbreaking) picture of how men are conditioned into our role.

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Aditi's avatar

Many thanks - I'll check out Dan Kindlon and Michael Thomson

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Nicholas Langdon's avatar

I really enjoyed reading this, but every new insight only seems to reinforce the negative case for social media. Salvation will not come through hashtags and giving everyone a platform perhaps wasn't a great idea.

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JESÚS ALFARO ÁGUILA-REAL's avatar

you are implying that meritocracy and competition are the best (cost-benefit weighted) solutions

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Cathy Reisenwitz's avatar

I loved your explanation, with links to sources bc of course that's how you roll, of social media's role in gender equality. One graf was so useful that I had to go back and add it to my recent post on how and why the media distorts feminism into female supremacy which most people (correctly) dislike: https://open.substack.com/pub/cathyreisenwitz/p/why-the-media-misleads-everyone-about

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Artin's avatar

It is misleading to see the resistance against “equal rights” for women attributed to men feeling threatened. At least in the case of Middle East the culprit is the Islamic culture. Which btw many women are brainwashed with as well and force it on other women. An anti human and anti civilization religion that promotes female subjugation to men and male subjugation to an imaginary sadistic god. Awful for everyone but for women it’s even worse.

I think it’s important to emphasize that the equality is about the “rights” only not an egalitarian Marxist ideology covered under “equality of opportunity” to aim for outcome equality and make the premise that sexes should earn the same. Just pause and ask why? If they decide willfully to become teachers or doctors and not engineers what is wrong with that? Let individuals pursue their happiness. It’d be nice if women would more often show a consistent and coherent interest in discussing ideas on a philosophical basis. An example would be the abortion rights. It must be legal until birth because of property rights. It’s your body. But I’ve still to see any woman protesting against draft laws which primarily targets men. It’s also their body and it has nothing to do with the state. You mention the right and left as if they are so different. Both are collectivist statist and anti “individual” which is btw the most oppressed minority! The “right” is just more discriminatory and more Christian and is sometimes also racist. The true battle is to advocate for the individual rights and freedoms.

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